Monetary Policy 2025

Can Euro Stablecoins Expand Without Weakening the Banking System?

A payment that leaves a bank account and becomes a digital token is not just a change in form. It is a change in where liquidity sits in the financial system.

At an EU finance meeting in Cyprus, the expansion of euro-denominated stablecoins surfaced not as a technological question, but as a policy one. The conversation turned on a simple, structural concern: when a payment token replaces a bank deposit, where does the liquidity go — and with what consequences?

European policymakers are considering the development of a larger euro-denominated stablecoin market as part of broader efforts to strengthen payments infrastructure and reduce reliance on dollar-linked tokens. A proposal discussed by Bruegel suggested easing selected liquidity requirements for stablecoin issuers and potentially allowing access to ECB facilities, with the aim of supporting euro-based digital assets at scale.

The European Central Bank has raised concerns. The main channels of concern relate to:

  • Potential migration of deposits away from banks
  • Reduced capacity for bank lending
  • Weaker transmission of the interest rate policy

In parallel, the EU is advancing work on a digital euro, while private banking consortia are developing euro stablecoin initiatives. The system is therefore evolving through both public and private channels, with no single coordinated framework.

The Structure of Monetary Transmission

The underlying issue is the structure of monetary transmission. In the current system, commercial banks play a central role in:

  • Holding deposits
  • Extending credit
  • Transmitting policy rates into the real economy

Stablecoins introduce an alternative liquidity pathway. Funds transferred into stablecoin reserves are effectively removed from traditional deposit structures, altering the composition of bank balance sheets.

At scale, this raises two linked constraints:

  • The potential reduction of stable deposit funding for banks
  • Increased uncertainty around how quickly monetary policy adjustments propagate through the system

Regulatory Asymmetry

A second constraint arises from regulatory asymmetry. Tighter EU requirements relative to other jurisdictions may limit the domestic growth of euro-denominated stablecoins while reinforcing the role of dollar-based alternatives in global payments infrastructure.

Structural Paths Available

Several structural paths remain available:

Path 1

Regulated expansion within the banking perimeter

Stablecoin issuance develops under strict reserve and liquidity rules, with limited impact on bank funding structures.

Path 2

Bank-based tokenisation model

Tokenised deposits become the primary European approach, maintaining monetary control within existing institutions.

Path 3

Parallel development of public and private systems

Stablecoins, digital euro initiatives, and bank-led solutions coexist, creating segmented payment layers.

Path 4

External dominance of non-Euro stablecoins

If euro issuance remains constrained, dollar-denominated tokens continue to dominate cross-border digital payments.

Conclusion

The policy question is not centred on whether digital tokens will expand. It is centred on how their expansion interacts with the banking system that currently underpins monetary control in the euro area. The choices made in Brussels, Frankfurt, and in the private sector over the next several years will determine whether stablecoins become a complement to the existing system, a parallel structure operating alongside it, or a source of structural friction that complicates monetary policy and financial stability.

Back to all insights